IRDM — candidate.roundup
Update
IRDM — candidate.roundup
Reason: IRDM is the only name in the basket above its 200-day (+31.9%) and the only clean structure: -1.12% on the week, +149.44% on the year. The other three are in collapse — RKLB -19.8%, ASTS -28.4% and LUNR -30.5% against their 200-days, with months of -14.86%, -11.91% and -24.84%. All three are still positive over twelve months, which is what keeps them on watch rather than written off, and RKLB's thesis is flagged broken. Roster unchanged.
Price/RSI Table
| Stock | Price | 7D | 30D | 52wkHi | 1Y | vs 200-day | RSI | Status | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IRDM | $46.77 | -1.12% | -3.98% | -18.21% | +149.44% | +31.9% | 45.3 | 🟢 Pullback in trend | 📈 Accumulate |
| ASTS | $58.52 | -2.24% | -11.91% | -56.28% | +41.22% | -28.4% | 43.7 | 🟡 Trend under test | 🔍 Watch |
| RKLB | $64.57 | +2.57% | -14.86% | -57.24% | +36.86% | -19.8% | 43.9 | 🟡 Trend under test | ❌ Don't buy |
| LUNR | $13.92 | -3% | -24.84% | -70.22% | +45.3% | -30.5% | 40.2 | 🟡 Trend under test | 🔍 Watch |
Status reads the 200-day trend first and RSI second; Action is a trend-hold lens — an extended name is never an entry, and a name below its 200-day with a negative year is not a dip.
What Changed Since 2026-09-11
- IRDM -1.12% week and -3.98% month, +31.9% against its 200-day, +149.44% on the year at alpha +134.43, -18.21% off its high — a pullback inside an intact trend, and the only one of those here.
- RKLB +2.57% on the week but -14.86% on the month, -19.8% against its 200-day and -57.24% below its high on a +36.86% year. Thesis flagged broken; the tape has not argued otherwise.
- ASTS -2.24% week, -11.91% month, -28.4% against its 200-day, -56.28% off its high, +41.22% year. LUNR -3% week, -24.84% month, -30.5% against its 200-day and -70.22% below its high — the deepest hole in the group.
- The whole space group closed green on Thursday, the broadest session of the month, and the week is still flat-to-down for three of four names with every month deeply negative. That is leg two of a bottom at best, not a turn — and none of these three has reclaimed its 200-day, the only level that would change the read.
- Roster unchanged: no entrants, no dropouts. RKLB's last pull is September 4, ASTS's September 3, and IRDM's and LUNR's July 13 — news not pulled for this week's moves in any of the four. Nothing for these names sits in the desk's event record this week.
Sources
- Tape data (price, RSI, returns, one-year change and alpha, distance to the 200-day): pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-09-18 close — space (Schwab).
- Prior edition (format and roster only): 2026-09-11-space.
- Thursday's session breadth: 2026-09-17-market-brief.
- News checks: latest (pulled 2026-09-04),
.../ASTS/news/latest.json(2026-09-03),.../IRDM/news/latest.jsonand.../LUNR/news/latest.json(both 2026-07-13).
Related
10 events DateTypeEvent
Sep 23 UpdateIRDM — candidate.roundup Sep 25 UpdateIRDM — candidate.roundup Sep 11 UpdateIRDM — candidate.roundup Sep 25 ArticleRocket Stocks Bounced Under Their 200-Day Lines; Google's Space TPUs Are a Four-Chip Test Sep 30 ArticleRocket Stocks Gave Back Their September Bounce: Still Repairing, Not Taking Off Oct 2 UpdateIRDM — candidate.roundup Sep 4 UpdateIRDM — candidate.roundup Aug 28 UpdateIRDM — candidate.roundup Oct 9 UpdateIRDM — candidate.roundup Aug 22 UpdateIRDM — candidate.roundup No direct external sources are attached to this read.