IRDM — candidate.roundup
Update
IRDM — candidate.roundup
Reason: Space is bifurcated. $IRDM is the only clean uptrend (above its 200-day, large year). $RKLB and $LUNR bounced on Friday's session (both up about 5%) but remain below their 200-day and far under their highs; $ASTS is below its 200-day with a negative year. Cause unknown for the bounce.
Price/RSI Table
| Stock | Price | 7D | 30D | 52wkHi | 1Y | vs 200-day | RSI | Status | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IRDM | 48.96 | 0.43 | 4.24 | -14.38 | 162.66 | 32.4 | 57.8 | 🟢 Intact trend | 🔒 Hold |
| ASTS | 58.45 | -5.44 | -6.33 | -56.33 | -11.65 | -27.9 | 44.7 | 🔴 Below 200-day | ❌ Don't Buy |
| RKLB | 73.92 | -0.04 | 17.15 | -51.05 | 40.88 | -9.2 | 58.4 | 🔴 Below 200-day | 🔍 Watch |
| LUNR | 14.71 | -5.77 | -1.01 | -68.53 | 31.11 | -27.2 | 47 | 🔴 Below 200-day | ⚠️ Speculative |
As of 2026-10-02. Status reads the 200-day trend first and RSI second; Action is a trend-hold lens: an extended name is never an entry, and a name below its 200-day with a negative year is not a dip.
What Changed Since 2026-09-25
- RKLB/LUNR: strong-day bounce inside long drawdowns; no dated cause on file (news not pulled for this move, last pulls 2026-09-26; stock-events and the October 1-2 captures checked).
- ASTS: below its 200-day with a negative year, speculative.
- IRDM: steady, +2.28% on the day.
- Roster unchanged since September 25: no entrants, no dropouts.
Sources
- Tape data (price, RSI, returns, one-year change, distance to the 200-day): pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-10-02 desk date, summaries (Schwab).
- Prior edition (format and roster only): 2026-09-25-space.
- Event checks:
research/stock-events/, the 2026-10-01 market brief and 2026-10-01/02 prints digests underresearch/issues/; news receipts under stocks/news/latest.json` (memory names pulled 2026-10-01, before the October 2 move).
Related
10 events DateTypeEvent
Sep 30 ArticleRocket Stocks Gave Back Their September Bounce: Still Repairing, Not Taking Off Sep 25 UpdateIRDM — candidate.roundup Oct 9 UpdateIRDM — candidate.roundup Sep 25 ArticleRocket Stocks Bounced Under Their 200-Day Lines; Google's Space TPUs Are a Four-Chip Test Sep 23 UpdateIRDM — candidate.roundup Oct 16 UpdateIRDM — candidate.roundup Sep 18 UpdateIRDM — candidate.roundup Sep 11 UpdateIRDM — candidate.roundup Sep 4 UpdateIRDM — candidate.roundup Aug 28 UpdateIRDM — candidate.roundup No direct external sources are attached to this read.