IRDM — candidate.roundup

Update

IRDM — candidate.roundup

Reason: IRDM stays the only clean structure — +2.16% on the week, +34.4% against its 200-day, +172.42% on the year. The other three bounced without repairing anything: RKLB +10.38% on the week but still -13% against its 200-day with its thesis still flagged broken; LUNR +9.88% but still -24.2% against its 200-day; ASTS barely moved (+1.2%) and its one-year gain has compressed hard, from +41.22% two weeks ago to +9.45% now. None of the three has reclaimed its 200-day.

Price/RSI Table

Stock Price 7D 30D 52wkHi 1Y vs 200-day RSI Status Action
IRDM $48.30 +2.16% +2.11% -15.53% +172.42% +34.4% 54.4 🟢 Pullback in trend 📈 Accumulate
RKLB $70.31 +10.38% +2.97% -53.44% +32.89% -13% 53.9 🟡 Trend under test ❌ Don't buy
LUNR $15.24 +9.88% -8.52% -67.4% +47.1% -24.2% 49.2 🟡 Trend under test 🔍 Watch
ASTS $59.98 +1.2% -3.8% -55.19% +9.45% -26.5% 46.4 🟡 Trend under test 🔍 Watch

Status reads the 200-day trend first and RSI second; Action is a trend-hold lens — an extended name is never an entry, and a name below its 200-day with a negative year is not a dip.

What Changed Since 2026-09-18

  • IRDM +2.16% week, +34.4% against its 200-day, +172.42% year. Its pull is stale since July 13 — no news pulled for this week's move.
  • RKLB +10.38% week but still -13% against its 200-day, -53.44% off its high, thesis still flagged broken. Its pull is stale since September 4 — no news pulled for this week's bounce; the last dated events on file are the Iridium acquisition announcement (September 2) and an August 31 revenue-beat-but-EPS-miss quarter, both already known.
  • LUNR +9.88% week, still -24.2% against its 200-day. Its pull (refreshed September 21) returns aggregator pages only — no new dated cause.
  • ASTS +1.2% week, still -26.5% against its 200-day. Its pull is stale since September 2 — no news pulled for this week. Flagging the real deterioration here regardless of cause: the one-year gain has compressed from +41.22% two weeks ago to +9.45% now.
  • Roster unchanged: no entrants, no dropouts.

Sources

  • Tape data (price, RSI, returns, one-year change and alpha, distance to the 200-day): pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-09-23 close — space (Schwab).
  • Prior edition (format and roster only): 2026-09-18-space.
  • News checks: latest (pulled 2026-09-21), .../RKLB/news/latest.json (pulled 2026-09-04, stale), .../ASTS/news/latest.json (pulled 2026-09-02, stale), .../IRDM/news/latest.json (pulled 2026-07-13, stale).
10 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.