Consumer
Update
Consumer
Consumer discretionary picks. AS (Arc'teryx) and LULU focus.
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟡 MIXED - AS showing relative strength, LULU near oversold |
| Key insight | AS +58.1% revenue acceleration (strong). LULU -57% from high = opportunity. |
Action Matrix
| Action | Stocks | Why |
|---|---|---|
| 📈 WATCH | LULU | RSI 32, near oversold, -57% from high |
| 🔍 RESEARCH | AS | Revenue accelerating, Arc'teryx compounder thesis |
Data (Validated 2026-02-04)
| Stock | Price | 7D | 30D | 3M | 52wkHi | RSI | Rev Accel | Status | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS | $36.34 | -4.8% | -2.0% | +16.2% | -14.2% | 48 | +58.1% | 🟢 Strong fundamentals | 🔍 Research |
| LULU | $178.00 | -6.6% | -16.2% | +6.2% | -57.3% | 32 | -4.9% | 🟡 Near oversold | 📈 Watch |
Key Positions
AS - Amer Sports (Arc'teryx)
Thesis: Premium outdoor apparel. Arc'teryx brand = aspirational luxury.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Current | $36.34 |
| Entry zone | $30-38 |
| RSI | 48 |
| Revenue Acceleration | +58.1% |
| 52wk High | -14.2% |
Analysis:
- Arc'teryx brand is the crown jewel
- +58.1% revenue acceleration = strong growth
- China expansion runway
- Premium positioning = pricing power
- Currently IN entry zone
Action: ✅ IN ZONE. Research thesis deeper.
LULU - Lululemon
Thesis: Athleisure leader. Men's expansion. International.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Current | $178.00 |
| Entry zone | <$180 |
| RSI | 32 (near oversold) |
| Revenue | -4.9% (decelerating) |
| 52wk High | -57.3% |
Analysis:
- RSI 32 = approaching oversold
- -57% from high = significant correction
- Founder criticism noise, fundamentals matter
- Men's category + international = growth runway
- Revenue deceleration is concern
Action: 📈 IN ZONE. Watch for RSI <30 confirmation.
Entry Zones Status
Next Actions
- Deep dive AS (Arc'teryx) thesis
- Watch LULU for RSI <30 entry
- Track men's category growth for LULU
- Monitor AS China expansion
Commands
cd stonks
the desk's own tooling
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Related
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Feb 4 UpdateRetail Feb 4 ArticleActions & Alerts Log Feb 5 UpdateRetail Feb 5 UpdatePortfolio - Main Snapshot Feb 5 UpdateConsumer Feb 3 UpdateCandidates - Retail & Consumer Feb 5 ArticleActions & Alerts Log Feb 3 ArticleActions & Alerts Log Feb 5 ScanConsumer Sector Scan Feb 5 ScanRetail Sector Scan No direct external sources are attached to this read.