Consumer
Update
Consumer
Consumer discretionary picks. LULU crashed to RSI 24, AS weakening. Both in entry zones.
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🔴 BEARISH - LULU RSI 27 (oversold), AS slipping below support |
| Key insight | LULU -21.2% in 30D, now $170.09 = deep in entry zone. AS -7.5% 30D weakening. |
Action Matrix
| Action | Stocks | Why |
|---|---|---|
| ✅ BUY | LULU | RSI 27, extreme oversold, -57%+ from high, deep in entry zone |
| 📈 WATCH | AS | RSI 42, slipping, still in entry zone but weakening |
Data (Validated 2026-02-05)
| Stock | Price | 7D | 30D | 3M | 52wkHi | RSI | Rev Accel | Status | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS | $35.73 | -4.3% | -7.5% | +13.7% | -15.6% | 42 | +58.1% | 🟡 Weakening | 📈 Watch |
| LULU | $170.09 | -4.6% | -21.2% | +1.7% | -59.2% | 27↓ | -4.9% | 🟢 OVERSOLD | ✅ Buy |
Key Positions
LULU - Lululemon
Thesis: Athleisure leader. Men's expansion. International.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Current | $170.09 |
| Previous (02/04) | $178.00 |
| Entry zone | <$180 |
| RSI | 27↓ (OVERSOLD) |
| Revenue | -4.9% (decelerating) |
| 52wk High | -59.2% |
| BB Lower | $162.79 |
Analysis:
- RSI 27 = confirmed oversold, down from 32 yesterday
- Dropped another -4.5% today ($178 to $170.09)
- -59% from 52-week high = massive drawdown for category leader
- Below BB middle ($190.83), approaching BB lower ($162.79)
- MACD deeply negative (-10.20), bearish momentum still strong
- Men's category + international = growth runway remains intact
- Founder criticism noise continues but fundamentals matter
Action: ✅ OVERSOLD. Entry zone confirmed. Consider starter position.
AS - Amer Sports (Arc'teryx)
Thesis: Premium outdoor apparel. Arc'teryx brand = aspirational luxury.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Current | $35.73 |
| Previous (02/04) | $36.34 |
| Entry zone | $30-38 |
| RSI | 42 |
| Revenue Acceleration | +58.1% |
| 52wk High | -15.6% |
Analysis:
- Dropped from $36.34 to $35.73 (-1.7% today)
- Still in entry zone ($30-38) but trending toward lower end
- RSI 42 = neutral, not yet oversold
- Revenue acceleration remains strong at +58.1%
- Arc'teryx brand is the crown jewel
- China expansion runway still intact
- Near BB lower ($35.33) = technical support nearby
Action: 📈 IN ZONE. Approaching lower bound of entry zone. Watch for $35 support.
Entry Zones Status
| Stock | Entry Zone | Current | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| LULU | <$180 | $170.09 | ✅ DEEP IN ZONE (oversold) |
| AS | $30-38 | $35.73 | ✅ IN ZONE (lower half) |
Next Actions
- Consider LULU starter position at RSI 27
- Watch LULU for bounce off BB lower ($162.79)
- Monitor AS for $35 support hold
- Track men's category growth for LULU
- Monitor AS China expansion news
Commands
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