← all events raw scan snapshot Mar 3, 2026 — prices as of scan date, not live 39 rows · screens, not recommendations superseded by2026-04-26-retail-scan ported fromresearch/classic/scans/_archive/2026-03-03-retail-scan.md scan slugretail-scan source typescan-archive
Retail broadly weak — HD and LOW approaching oversold, TGT surging on relief, ANF the lone momentum winner. Value names (COST , WMT , TJX ) holding up while home improvement and discretionary sell off.
Quick Snapshot Signal Reading Overall 🟡 BIFURCATED — Value/discount retail (COST, WMT, TJX) stable while home improvement (HD, LOW) and specialty discretionary roll over. TGT bouncing hard. Leaders TGT ($115.76, RSI 70, +6.5% vs SMA), ANF ($105.56, RSI 56, +1.3% vs SMA), TJX ($155.86, RSI 49) Laggards LOW ($257.77, RSI 25, -6.4% vs SMA), HD ($366.57, RSI 31, -4.0% vs SMA)
Note: ROST, GAP , AEO, BURL, DG, DLTR, FIVE data not available in local dataset — excluded from analysis.
Price Table (Validated 2026-03-03) Stock Price RSI SMA20 vs SMA 7D% 30D% Signal HD $366.57 31 $381.80 -4.0% -4.7% -3.8% 🟡 Approaching oversold LOW $257.77 25 ↓ $275.36 -6.4% -7.5% -6.2% 🔴 Deeply oversold TJX $155.86 49 $153.45 +1.6% +3.8% -1.2% 🟡 Neutral, slight strength ANF $105.56 56 $104.20 +1.3% +9.4% -15.1% 🟢 Momentum, still -15% 30D COST $988.33 50 $986.00 +0.2% +0.1% +1.2% 🟡 Neutral, rock-solid WMT $127.91 52 $127.75 +0.1% +0.9% -0.1% 🟡 Stable, near all-time zone TGT $115.76 70 $108.70 +6.5% +1.2% +6.5% 🟠 Near overbought, relief rally
Tier Analysis Capitulation (RSI < 25) — Extreme Washout None at true capitulation. LOW approaching.
Oversold (RSI 25-40) — Strong Entry Zone Stock RSI vs SMA 30D Notes LOW 25 ↓ -6.4% -6.2% Home improvement demand soft. RSI 25 = deeply oversold. Housing/remodel catalyst needed. HD 31 -4.0% -3.8% Approaching oversold. -4.7% in 7D. Both home improvement names rolling over together.
Neutral (RSI 40-60) — No Urgency Stock RSI vs SMA Trend TJX 49 +1.6% Off-price resilience. Slight recovery +3.8% 7D COST 50 +0.2% Steady as ever — membership model immune to macro WMT 52 +0.1% Grocery/essentials stable. ANF 56 +1.3% +9.4% in 7D — strong momentum despite -15% 30D
Near Overbought (RSI 60-80) — Caution Stock RSI vs SMA Trend TGT 70 +6.5% Post-earnings relief rally. RSI 70 = extended. Don't chase.
Entry Zones Stock Zone RSI Trigger Thesis 🟢 LOW $250-$258 RSI < 28 Home improvement secular story intact. -6.4% vs SMA = oversold entry. Housing cycle will turn. 🟢 HD $360-$370 RSI < 32 Market leader with 2,300+ stores. Approaching oversold. Better entry than LOW risk/reward. 🟡 TJX $150-$156 RSI < 45 Off-price is the defensible retail model. Neutral now but great on dips. 🟡 ANF $95-$105 RSI < 45 -15% in 30D despite current bounce. Wait for RSI to cool before adding. ⚠️ TGT — RSI > 65 RSI 70, +6.5% vs SMA — overbought on relief rally. Do not chase.
Action Matrix Stock Signal Action Notes LOW 🔴 RSI 25 ✅ Strong Buy Near capitulation. Home improvement leader, entry zone now. HD 🟡 RSI 31 📈 Accumulate Approaching oversold. Pair trade with LOW or standalone. TJX 🟡 RSI 49 🔒 Hold Steady off-price compounder. No action needed. COST 🟡 RSI 50 🔒 Hold Best-in-class retailer. Never sells off meaningfully. Hold forever. WMT 🟡 RSI 52 🔒 Hold Grocery/essentials fortress. Stable. ANF 🟢 RSI 56 🔍 Watch +9.4% 7D momentum but -15% 30D. Wait for RSI to cool before new entry. TGT 🟠 RSI 70 ⚠️ Avoid Relief rally — RSI overbought, don't chase. Wait for RSI < 50 on next pullback.
What Changed (vs Previous Retail Scan) Stock Previous Signal Current Move Note LOW 🟡 Neutral 🔴 RSI 25 Deteriorating -7.5% in 7D — home improvement rolling over hard HD 🟢 Stable 🟡 RSI 31 Weakening -4.7% 7D, approaching oversold TGT 🔴 Weak 🟠 RSI 70 Strong bounce Relief rally from oversold — but overbought now ANF 🔴 RSI low 🟢 RSI 56 Recovery +9.4% 7D momentum — watch for continuation COST 🟡 Neutral 🟡 RSI 50 Flat Steady as expected WMT 🟡 Neutral 🟡 RSI 52 Flat Consistent, no surprises TJX 🟡 Neutral 🟡 RSI 49 Slight improvement +3.8% 7D, slight recovery
Key Discoveries Discovery Implication HOME IMPROVEMENT (HD + LOW) both deeply oversold simultaneously Sector-wide signal, not stock-specific. Housing weakness driving both. Watch for mean reversion. TGT RSI 70 after being crushed — relief rally extreme Short-term overbought. Better entry will come. COST + WMT flat = defensive retail outperforming In macro uncertainty, essentials/membership models win
Open Questions
Is the HD /LOW simultaneous selloff a buying opportunity or a housing recession signal?
Will ANF momentum hold or is the -15% 30D a warning that the bounce is a trap?
Missing data for ROST, BURL, DG, DLTR, FIVE , GAP , AEO — need to add to data fetch
No direct external sources are attached to this read.