Data as-of the 2026-08-14 settled close (Friday's close). Numbers read directly from macro-commodities — no prose math.

The equity-factor sleeve is the cleanest signal in this book — value and equal-weight both crossed into overbought while precious metals paused after a strong 30-day run rather than reversing. VTV (RSI 72.6) and RSP (RSI 71.0) are the only two overbought readings anywhere in this file, both tagged breakout and within 0.2% of their 52-week highs. GLD, SLV, GDX, and SIL all sit flat to only mildly positive on the week (+0.1% to +1.7%) even though every one of them is still up double digits over 30 days — a pause, not a reversal. Energy is split: USO is up +7.3% on the week but the summary still tags it a pullback regime, while UNG remains the softest reading in the file at RSI 41.6, tagged collapse. EWZ is the one clearly negative name outside natural gas, down on both the week and the month.

• USO's RSI (53.5) sits mid-range despite a +7.3% weekly gain — the trend tag reads strong-up, but the regime classification is still pullback, an internal disagreement worth flagging.
• UNG is the softest reading in the entire file: RSI 41.6, -6.0% over 30 days, tagged collapse, and -41.5% off its 52-week high — energy's two names moved in opposite directions this week.

• All four names are flat to only mildly positive on the week (+0.1% to +1.7%) after a much stronger 30-day run (+7.8% to +21.6%) — a pause rather than a reversal, since every 30-day print stays firmly positive.
• GDX and SIL carry the largest premiums to their own 20-day averages in this section (+11.9% / +11.4%), yet both are tagged pullback rather than an uptrend regime — an internal disagreement against their own up-trend tags.
• None of the four is close to its 52-week high; SLV is the furthest off at -47.1%.

• Copper (COPX) is the lone double-digit 30-day gainer in this section (+10.9%) despite a negative week (-2.7%) — a pullback inside an otherwise strong 30-day trend.
• The grain complex (WEAT, CORN, SOYB, DBA) stays in a tight, unremarkable RSI band (52.8-59.8) with 30-day prints flat to modestly positive — no name in the group is more than 2.6% from flat over 30 days.

URA's trend tag (weak-up) disagrees with its regime classification (downtrend) — a +9.9% 30-day gain and a +7.5% premium to its 20-day average sit against a regime tag that hasn't confirmed the move, and it remains -27.3% off its 52-week high.

• The dollar (UUP) is the softest reading in this section at RSI 42.2, negative on both the 7- and 30-day windows.
• The euro (FXE, RSI 62.7) and yen (FXY, RSI 55.8) both sit on the firmer side of the divergence against the dollar, though both carry a downtrend regime tag despite positive trend readings — an internal disagreement in both names.

Both housing ETFs sit near the midpoint of their RSI range (51.4-51.7) with essentially flat 30-day prints (+0.1% / +0.9%) after negative weeks — the sector isn't showing directional conviction either way this scan.

• EWZ is the clear laggard of the section — RSI 36.6, negative on both the 7- and 30-day windows (-4.0% / -5.4%), tagged strong-down — the only name in this entire file with a negative 30-day print outside UNG.
• VGK, EWG, and EWJ all carry breakout regime tags and sit within 1.6% of their 52-week highs — the strongest cluster of readings in the international sleeve.
• FXI's trend/regime disagreement continues: RSI 46.4 with a weak-up trend tag against a downtrend regime, and it's the only international name trading below its 20-day average (-1.9%).

• VTV (RSI 72.6) and RSP (RSI 71.0) are the only two overbought readings in the entire file — both tagged breakout and within 0.2% of their 52-week highs.
• QUAL also carries a breakout tag (RSI 65.6) without being extended, while VUG and MTUM sit in a basing regime in the mid-50s to low-60s — the factor sleeve is broadly firm, with value and equal-weight leading growth and momentum this scan.

This scan doesn't point cleanly to one macro regime. The energy complex is split — USO up 7.3% on the week but still tagged in a pullback regime, UNG down hard over 30 days in a collapse regime. Precious metals (GLD, SLV, GDX, SIL) are pausing after a strong 30-day run rather than reversing — every one stays positive over 30 days even with the week itself close to flat. The dollar (UUP, RSI 42.2) stays the softest reading in the currency section, consistent with gold and silver holding their 30-day strength rather than fading. Housing is directionless (XHB and ITB both near-flat over 30 days), and the grain/ag complex shows no shared signal. What is unambiguous is the equity-factor sleeve: VUG, VTV, MTUM, QUAL, and RSP are all strong-up or better, with VTV and RSP now the only outright overbought names in the file — a broad risk-on read in equities that isn't matched by a clean inflationary or deflationary signal from the commodity complex itself.

• Gold's positive 30-day trend (GLD +7.8%) against a still-soft dollar (UUP RSI 42.2, weak-down) is the inverse-dollar relationship holding for another scan.
• FXI (RSI 46.4, weak-up trend vs downtrend regime) and URA (RSI 59.6, weak-up trend vs downtrend regime) both show the same internal trend/regime disagreement this scan — worth treating with caution rather than confirmation.
• EWZ (RSI 36.6, -5.4% 30D) is the one clearly negative reading across the entire file outside UNG — a standout laggard against an otherwise firm international sleeve.
• The equity factor sleeve (VTV, QUAL, RSP all breakout) and the international breakout cluster (VGK, EWG, EWJ) moved together this scan — both point to broad equity strength independent of the commodity complex's more mixed picture.

• Whether the precious-metals pause (GLD/SLV/GDX/SIL all near-flat on the week) resolves into a continuation of the 30-day uptrend or a deeper pullback.
• Whether VTV and RSP's overbought reads (RSI 72.6, 71.0) cool or extend further into breakout.
• EWZ's negative 30-day print (-5.4%) — the one clear laggard in the international sleeve, worth confirming against the next scan.
• The FXI and URA trend/regime disagreements — both still unresolved this scan.
• UNG's collapse regime and -41.5% distance from its 52-week high — whether natural gas stabilizes or keeps deteriorating.