Watchlist / trace-iran-war-second-and-third-order-effects

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Watchlist / trace-iran-war-second-and-third-order-effects

current roster plus event stream

symbols 7 events 121 latest

Second- and third-order Iran-war exposures across shipping, insurance, pharmaceutical inputs, rare earths, and fertilizer. Research trace from 2026-04-12 with 1 unanimous and 3 strong-convergence findings.

Showing 120 of 121 events.

Cumulative return since Sep 8 — both lines start at 0%, so the gap between them IS the out/under-performance. Hover for daily values.
1D7D30D3M1Y
cohort -0.3%+2.6%+7.2%+22.1%+81.0%
SPY +0.6%+1.2%+2.1%+3.1%+16.0%
Δ -0.9%+1.5%+5.1%+19.0%+65.0%

equal-weight · buy-and-hold from window start, no rebalancing · 3M+ windows are a current-roster backcast.

30D breadth 5/7 up

trend: 5 up · 0 flat · 2 down · avg RSI 60 · 71% above SMA200 · covered 7/7

contributors

FRO+3.0pp+20.9%
DHT+2.3pp+16.2%
INSW+2.1pp+14.5%
TEVA+1.6pp+11.5%
STNG+0.4pp+2.5%

detractors

ICL-2.1pp-14.6%
ACGL-0.1pp-0.6%

Holdings

ICL $5.02 -14.6% 30d coming into play ACGL $95.57 -0.6% 30d coming into play TEVA $41.10 +11.5% 30d in trend STNG $85.14 +2.5% 30d in trend FRO $56.10 +20.9% 30d in trend INSW $119.82 +14.5% 30d in trend DHT $24.64 +16.2% 30d in trend
FRO $56.10 -0.3% +20.9% +50.3% +152.8% 73 in trend -1.3%
DHT $24.64 -1.2% +16.2% +38.7% +109.7% 71 in trend -1.7%
INSW $119.82 -1.6% +14.5% +35.4% +168.0% 71 in trend -2.4%
TEVA $41.10 +4.7% +11.5% +24.7% +105.1% 65 in trend -2.2%
STNG $85.14 -3.4% +2.5% +7.3% +53.3% 54 in trend -5.5%
ACGL $95.57 -0.5% -0.6% -5.4% +3.6% 49 coming into play -10.8%
ICL $5.02 +0.4% -14.6% +3.5% -25.3% 37 coming into play -28.0%

Feed generated 2026-10-10.